Manchester United vs. Arsenal data analysis: Gunners have both offense and defense against the Red Devils

In the first round of the Premier League, Manchester United and Arsenal will face off at Old Trafford at 23:30 on August 17. Before the game, Manchester United temporarily ranked 15th due to a goal difference disadvantage, and Arsenal ranked 9th. Historical confrontations show that Manchester United has won 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in the last 10 times against Arsenal (win rate 40%), and drew 1-1 on March 10, 2025; but the Red Devils are currently suffering from injuries, with four main players including Onana and Martinez absent, while Gunner Jesus has relatively limited impact, and his condition has been very hot recently - he has won three consecutive victories after defeating Bilbao 3-0 in the Cup.

Offensive comparison: Arsenal scored 17 goals in the last 10 games (1.7 goals per game). Although he lost 1-2 to Southampton on May 25, his overall offensive stability was better than Manchester United (10 goals per game in the last 10 games). The Gunners have scored consecutive goals in the last five games, and their firepower averaged 1.8 goals per game is even more threatening.

Defensive differences: Manchester United conceded 14 goals in the last 10 games, the problem of back midfielder coverage and central defender cooperation is prominent, and the potential for set-piece defense has not been resolved; Arsenal has only conceded 7 goals, and the defensive system of conceding 34 goals in 38 rounds last season (0.89 goals per game) has continued to this day.

Injury status: Manchester United's four main players are absent, especially the hardness of the defense and goalkeeper position are affected; although Arsenal is in good shape, his weakness of 100% loss rate when he fell behind in the last 10 away games was partially offset by the Red Devils' ability to go against the wind at home (the winning rate when he fell behind in the last 10 home games).

Comprehensive forecast: Arsenal defeated Manchester United 1-0 or 2-1, the Gunners won a good start with a more mature system and state, while the Red Devils need to find the right tactical direction again.