Interpretation of football strength on October 14: 3 games in the World Cup preliminaries Attached: Score, number of goals, wins, draws and losses!

Hello everyone, I am your old friend Xiaoying! Friends who have followed me before should know that I always emphasize the importance of mentality: be good at choosing venues and strictly control yourself. But it is difficult to implement it. The high confidence after the red streak and the huge fear after the black streak will lead to errors in judgment. Therefore, analysis is only part of it. The more content is cost control and mentality control. The following is only a preliminary analysis. The article was published earlier and the data is constantly changing. Please refer to it with caution. I will continue to collect more on-the-spot information and pay attention to changes, and give final opinions before the scene. I wish you all a prosperous future!

009 Portugal vs Hungary

Portugal: Ranked 5th in the world, the team is worth as much as 849 million euros. In the past 8 official games, they have achieved 6 wins and 2 losses, with a winning rate of 75%. The offense is strong and the defense is relatively solid. The home court advantage is obvious, with 9 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in the last 10 home games. The team's lineup is star-studded. Although Cristiano Ronaldo is 39 years old, his condition has rebounded. He has contributed 3 goals and 8 shots on target this season. Players such as Seat B and Cancelo have also performed well.

Hungary: Ranked 41st in the world, the team is worth 187 million euros. In the past 6 games, they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses, with a winning rate of only 33.3%, and their status has fluctuated greatly. The away performance is poor, the winning rate in the past 10 away games is only 20%, and the final losing rate is as high as 100% when falling behind in the away game. The team's core player Szoboszlai is the engine of the midfield, but the bench depth is insufficient and he only contributes 0.3 goals per game.

Historical clashes

In the past 15 meetings between the two teams, Portugal has remained unbeaten with 11 wins and 4 draws, occupying an absolute advantage. In the first round of the World Cup preliminaries on September 10, 2025, Portugal narrowly defeated Hungary 3-2 in an away game. Cristiano Ronaldo scored, and Seat B and Cancelo scored successively.

Tactical style

Portugal: usually adopts a 4-3-3 formation, focusing on low crosses from the wing and set-piece attacks. Through the midfield connection between B fee and B seat, the ball is controlled in one's own half, and Ronaldo's movement and Leo's side blast are used to create murderous opportunities.

Hungary: Mainly plays 5-3-2 intensive defense, relying on Szoboszlai's long pass and Varga's fulcrum counterattack. However, the core midfielder Nag was absent due to illness, and his interception ability was greatly weakened. The defensive return rate from the wing was only 68%, making it easy for Portugal to hit the gap behind him.

Key factors of the game

Physical fitness and weather: The 31°C high temperature in Lisbon is not good for Hungary. Its players averaged 9.8 kilometers per game at high intensity, and their sprint speed dropped by 35% after 60 minutes. However, Portugal could maintain a sprint speed of 78%, with a clear advantage at the end.

Core player duel: Seat B averages 2.1 steals per game, which can cut off Szoboszlai’s passing route. If Seat B can successfully restrict Szoboszlai, it will greatly weaken Hungary’s offensive organization. Ronaldo is expected to take advantage of the loopholes in Hungary's defense and score goals through headers and other methods.

Taken together, Portugal has obvious advantages in terms of strength, status, and historical confrontations, and has a higher probability of winning at home. However, if Hungary can seize the opportunity in the first 15 minutes and launch an efficient counterattack, it is not without the possibility of an upset.

008 Spain vs. Bulgaria

Spain: Currently leading Group E with 9 points from 3 wins, they performed well both offensively and defensively, scoring 11 goals in 3 games and conceding zero goals. The team has a deep lineup. Although the main players such as Ferran Torres and Garvey have retired due to injuries, the core players such as Pedri and Rodri are still there. Veterans such as Morata and Oyarzabal are rich in experience, and the overall strength is still strong.

Bulgaria: Lost all 3 games and are at the bottom with 0 points. On the offensive end, there is no gain. On the defensive end, they conceded an average of 3 goals per game. Their form is sluggish. Six Mesozoic players, including main defender Antov and midfielder Iliev, are absent. The defense is patched together by substitutes. The national team lacks experience and is unable to withstand Spain's attack.

Historical confrontations

In the past 6 encounters between the two sides, Spain has achieved 5 wins and 1 draw, occupying an absolute advantage. In the first round of the World Cup preliminaries in September 2025, Spain defeated Bulgaria 3-0 away from home.

Tactical style

Spain: It is expected to continue the 4-3-3 formation, control the rhythm through the midfield dispatch of Rodri and Pedri, and use the wing speed of Yamal and Williams to tear up the defense line. In view of Ferran's absence, the team may increase the proportion of crosses and long-range shots from the wing, such as Zubimendi's back-row shot or Lenorment's header.

Bulgaria: There is a high probability of adopting a 5-4-1 defensive formation. The three-center-back system is designed to limit Spanish wing crosses, and the midfielder implements a high-pressure press in an attempt to interrupt the opponent's passing line. The counterattack relies on the movement of the two forwards, especially the wide midfielders to provide deep support.

Key factors of the game

Spain's forward efficiency: Morata's club status has been sluggish recently, but he has performed efficiently in the national team. If he can continue his good form, Spain is expected to seal the victory early.

Bulgaria goalkeeper performance: Goalkeeper Mitov averaged 4.1 saves per game in the past three World Cup qualifying games. If he can perform exceptionally, he may reduce the number of goals conceded by the team.

Bulgaria's set-piece defense: Bulgaria's set-piece defense has obvious loopholes, conceding 65% of the goals. We need to be wary of Spain's corner kick and free kick tactics.

Taken together, Spain has obvious advantages in terms of strength, status, and historical confrontations. It has a higher probability of winning at home. It is expected that Spain will win with a score of 2-0 or 3-0.

004 Türkiye vs. Georgia

Türkiye: Ranked 27th in the world, it currently has 3 games, 2 wins, and 1 loss with 6 points, ranking second in the group. The team has many players who have played in the five major European leagues, and the overall strength is strong. It has achieved 4 wins and 2 losses in the past 6 games in all competitions. It has strong offensive firepower and averaged 2.1 goals per game. However, there are certain problems in defense, with only 1 clean sheet in the past 5 games..

Georgia: Ranked 67th in the world, Group E has 3 games, 1 win and 2 losses, with 3 points, ranking third in the group. The core player of the team is Kvalac Helia, who has strong breakthrough and scoring abilities. They have achieved 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in the past 6 games. The defensive performance is relatively stable and only conceded 3 goals. However, there are hidden dangers on the offensive end. If the main forward Mikartadze is absent due to injury, the team's finishing ability will drop by 30%.

Historical confrontation

In the past 9 meetings between the two teams, Türkiye has remained unbeaten with 7 wins and 2 draws, occupying an absolute advantage. In the first round of the World Cup preliminaries in early September 2025, Türkiye defeated Georgia 3-2 away from home.

Tactical style

Türkiye: Usually uses a 4-3-3 formation, emphasizing high-position pressing, cutting off the opponent's passing route through the intensive running of the three midfielders, and using the speed advantage of the wing-backs to launch counterattacks. Its offensive efficiency is high, averaging 15 shots per game in the past ten World Cup preliminaries, with a conversion rate of 12%.

Georgia: It is expected to adopt a 5-4-1 defensive formation, using a three-center defender system to compress space, and rely on the two wing-backs to insert assists to create threats. The offensive end relies too much on set pieces and long passes, and the ground coordination is insufficient. The average ball possession rate in the past five away games is less than 40%.

Key factors of the game

Core player status: If Turkey's Guler and Yildiz continue to be in good form, the team is expected to break the tie early; and Georgia's Kvaratschlija has recovered from injury and his performance will directly affect the team's offensive threat.

Defensive loopholes: The Turkish full-backs have obvious loopholes in defense after penetrating forward. They have conceded an average of 1.2 goals per game in the past 3 games and may be targeted by Georgia's counterattack; Georgia's set-piece defense has loopholes, with a conceding rate of 31%. Turkey's set-piece offense may be the key to breaking the game.

Taken together, Türkiye has advantages in terms of strength and historical confrontations, and is more likely to win at home. However, Georgia's defensive counterattack tactics may also pose a threat to Türkiye.