Today s Preview: Southampton vs. Stoke City
7:22pm, 23 August 2025Football
Yesterday, West Ham United promoted 1-5 Chelsea, and the gap in strength and competitive state West Ham United are not enough to limit Chelsea at home. Chelsea's passive substitution adjustment before the opening resulted in a big victory in this game.
English Championship: Southampton vs. Stoke City
Tactical Disassembly: Three core points of offensive and defensive game
1. Tactical System Comparison
Southampton: The Saints continued to counterattack with 3-4-2-1 last season, but returned to the more relaxed competitive environment in the Championship, the team played more openly in the previous few games, with more than 60% of the ball per game, but the offensive tactics were average. In this game, facing Stoke City, whose strength declined more severely, the team needs to use the advantage of field control to make higher quality offenses. The defensive end has not changed much in the new season and has enough ability to limit the offense of most teams in the Championship. Therefore, the winner and loss of this game still depend on offensive performance. Stoke City: Stoke City continues to use the 4-2-3-1 counterattack tactic of stable last season. Judging from the first two rounds of the league, the opponent's strength is relatively limited, and the team's high-level pressure gains results. They scored six goals in both games, and the premise of the defense line did not encounter too much threat. However, this game will face the relegated teams, and the strength of the online team is Southampton. Stoke City is unlikely to continue to stick to its open style of play and have to give some discounts on the offensive frequency. Referring to the performance last season, Stoke City has poor defensive restrictions against the front-volleyball team, and there is great defensive pressure in this game.
2. Data analysis Southampton: After two rounds of games, Southampton averaged 62% ball possession rate, scored 1.5 goals per game, and conceded 1 goal per game. The samples were too few, and the reference significance was not very significant. In the season before rising to the Premier League, Southampton performed strongly at home, winning and losing in Stoke in two home games. Stoke City: Stoke City averages 57% ball possession rate, scores 3 goals per game, and concedes 0.5 goals per game. The same sample is too small and has little reference significance. In the first two rounds, Stoke played an extremely efficient offensive against last season, but the team performed unstable away games last season, with many goals conceded in defense. When facing the relegated player Southampton, Stoke City had no obvious advantage.
3. Win-loss hand prediction
Southampton: New forward player Towns scored 10+ goals in the Bundesliga last season, quickly integrating into the team to contribute an assist. Fraser and Archer are both the team's main scoring points, and their personal abilities are good. The demon star Di Brynn does not have many opportunities to play in the new season, and the team does not lack scoring points in the frontcourt. Manning, Stephens and Yuki Sugawara defended well and had the ability to limit Stoke's counterattack. Stoke City: Mubama and Manchfe scored two goals in the first three games, Thomas scored 1 goal and 3 assists in two rounds of the league, Stoke City scored well in the frontcourt, but based on the strength of the opponent, this game is the real test they face. The Asian midfield combination of Bae Junhao and Se Koshu performed well, with the defense line led by Cresville and Gibson, and showed good competitive state in the previous two games.
In-depth observation: X factors that may affect the situation
1. Injury bombs:
Southampton: The team's lineup is complete, and the long-term injury and lack of defender James Brie has no impact on the team.
Stoke City: Gallagher and Cice were short of injuries in this game on the offensive end, and the team had sufficient personnel in the front line, which would only have a great impact on the offensive power in this game.
2. Confrontation analysis:
Southampton's combat power has slightly weakened compared to last season in the Premier League. Judging from the first three games of the season, the team is easy to deal with the English Championship. The potential problem with the team is that it is in poor offensive state and slightly weak in goals.
Stoke City's thrilling relegation with a 2-point advantage last season, and its performance on both offense and defense also meets the team's ranking. The two consecutive victories in the new season defeated Derby County and Shezhai Wednesday were both relegation opponents last season, so it can only prove that the team is in good competitive form in the new season. In this game, facing the lift Southampton, it is another away game with unstable performance, and it is difficult to score points, so it is not advisable to continue to look forward to their performance.
3. Referee Scale: Josh Smith, the referee on duty, averaged 3.83 yellow cards per game, and he may have won many cards in this game
Data analysis: Southampton beat Southampton -0.5 Score: 2-1, 1-0
Southampton's initial third-level start reward is slightly higher than that of the opponent, and the resistance on the top lane is relatively reasonable, which is good for the play. The reward will be reduced to the second level and will be increased. Southampton will continue to receive sufficient support for showing goodwill, but Stoke City clearly shows that its weak strength has increased and it is not advisable to look forward to it too much.
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