[Today s Event] 3 strings: Crystal Palace s home form has been more stable recently, Manchester City s historical confrontation is dominant (with sweep)

Tuesday 001 Premier League Crystal Palace vs Wolves

Match time: 2025-05-21 03:00

Paper strength: Crystal Palace is worth 441 million euros, Wolves are 408.8 million euros, and Crystal Palace is slightly advantageous. In terms of world club rankings, Crystal Palace ranks 27th, and Wolves ranks only 84th, with a significant gap. Although Wolves have richer historical honors (including 3 top league championships and 4 FA Cup championships), Crystal Palace's current lineup is more valuable and ranked higher, and its overall strength is better.

Summary: The paper surface of Crystal Palace is slightly strong and has obvious advantages.

Recent results: Crystal Palace has remained unbeaten with 1 win and 2 draws in the last three games, including a 2-1 defeat to Brighton, worth 555.6 million, and a draw with Nottingham Forest (447 million) and Bournemouth (435 million). Wolves have lost 1 away in the past three games, and although they lost 0-1 to Manchester City (1.31 billion), they defeated Manchester United (699 million). Judging from the strength of the opponent, Wolves' away defeat to Manchester United is valuable, but they are not stable enough; Crystal Palace performed steadily against mid-range teams at home.

Summary: Crystal Palace's home form has been more stable recently, and Wolves' away game has fluctuated significantly.

Offensive and defensive ability: Crystal Palace has scored 3 goals and conceded 2 goals at home in the last 3 games, and 1 clean sheet; Wolves have scored 3 goals and conceded 2 goals away in the last 3 games, and 1 clean sheet. The offensive and defensive data of both sides have been close in recent times, but the overall performance of the season was significantly different: Crystal Palace scored 46 goals and conceded 48 goals, and Wolves scored 51 goals and conceded 64 goals. Crystal Palace has a more balanced defensive end, while Wolves have a slightly stronger offense but have greater defensive loopholes.

Summary: Crystal Palace has a more stable defense, Wolves have excellent offensive strategies but there are hidden dangers in defense.

Event performance: Crystal Palace ranked 12th with 49 points, with averaging 43% ball possession rate and 13.72 shots (4.75 shots); Wolves ranked 14th with 41 points, with averaging 47% ball possession rate and 11.11 shots (4.17 shots). Wolves have a slightly better ball possession and a 37.5% shooting rate higher than Crystal Palace's 34.6%, but Crystal Palace's points and goal difference (-2 vs -13) are better, and the offense and defense balance is stronger.

Summary: Crystal Palace's overall performance is more balanced, and Wolves have the advantage in possession of the ball but lacks efficiency.

Confrontation features: In the last 6 encounters, Crystal Palace has an absolute advantage in 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, including defeating Wolves 3-1 and 3-2 at home. The last time the Wolves defeated Crystal Palace away is dated back to April 2023. Historical data show that Crystal Palace has significant psychological advantages against Wolves at home, and has scored more points in recent matches and fewer draws (only 1 draw in the last 10 games).

Summary: Crystal Palace has the advantage in historical confrontation and has obvious psychological advantages.

Comprehensive Analysis

Win draw: Win

Total goals: 2 goals / 3 goals

Half-game: Win/Grading

Score: 2:0 / 2:1

Unpopular warning

COLD WARNING

SEVEN

Low compensation changes: 11.70

5%+Institutions: 17

The range of low compensation changes in this event showed a large fluctuation, and more than half of the companies showed that the odds changed by more than 5%. This shows that the event has extremely high uncertainty and the possibility of unpopularity is very high, and it deserves special attention.

Tuesday 002 Premier League Manchester City vs Bournemouth

Match time: Time: 2025-05-21 03:00

Paper strength: Manchester City has an absolute advantage in paper strength. Its team is worth 1.31 billion euros, far higher than Bournemouth's 435 million euros. In terms of world club rankings, Manchester City ranks 9th, while Bournemouth ranks only 35th. Manchester City's honors include 10 Premier League titles, 1 Champions League title, etc., while Bournemouth only has secondary and low-level league titles. Manchester City's top three players (Haland 200 million, Foden 130 million, and Rodri 130 million) are also significantly better than Bournemouth (the highest value player is only 42 million euros).

Summary: Manchester City has crushed its strength and has huge advantages.

Recent record: Manchester City has won all the games in the last three home games (beating Wolves, Villa, and Crystal Palace), of which Villa is worth 627 million euros and ranks 8th in the world, with a lot of gold content. Bournemouth has 1 win and 2 draws in his last three away games (a draw against Arsenal, Crystal Palace and West Ham United). Although he remains unbeaten, his opponents have mixed strength (Arsenal is worth 1.13 billion but ranks 6th). Manchester City has won consecutive victories and their opponents are stronger overall and their condition is more stable.

Summary: Manchester City has won all the home games recently and is in better shape.

Offensive and defensive ability: Manchester City has scored 8 goals in its last 3 home games (2.67 goals per game), conceded only 3 goals and 1 clean sheet; Bournemouth has scored 4 goals in its last 3 away games (1.33 goals per game), conceded 3 goals and 1 clean sheet. On the offensive end, Manchester City is more efficient (Haland leads 21 goals), and both sides conced the same number of goals on the defensive end, but Manchester City has more zero-blocks (one home goal), and the defense line is more stable.

Summary: Manchester City has strong offensive firepower and more stable defense.

Meeting performance: Manchester City scored 67 goals in the Premier League this season (1.76 goals per game), conceded 43 goals, and the offense and defense were relatively balanced; Bournemouth scored 55 goals and conceded 43 goals, and its defense was tied with Manchester City but its offense was slightly weak. Manchester City's ball possession rate is far higher than Bournemouth's 48%, and the average shooting (15.97) and on-the-point shooting (5.75) average is also better, and the offensive efficiency is higher (36% shot shooting rate).

Summary: Manchester City has stronger control and better offensive and defensive efficiency.

Confrontation features: The two teams have played in the last 6 matches, with Manchester City having the upper hand in 4 wins and 2 losses. In the last match (March 2025), Manchester City won 2-1 away. In historical confrontations, Manchester City won many big scores (such as 6-1, 4-0), with obvious psychological advantages. The two sides have very few draws in the last 10 games, and there are no draws in the last 6 matches, and the style is biased towards winning and losing..

Summary: Manchester City has the advantage in historical confrontation, and the probability of a draw in the recent game is low.

Comprehensive Analysis

Win draw: Win

Total goals: 3 goals / 4 goals

Half-game: Win

Score: 2:1 / 3:1

Unpopular warning

Low compensation changes: -1.77

5%+Institutions: 1

The average value of low compensation changes and the odds changes of most companies are relatively mild. This shows that the situation in the game is relatively stable, with low uncertainty and a small probability of unpopularity.

Tuesday 003 Dutch Derboth vs Tersta

Match time: 2025-05-21 02:00:00

Paper strength: Denboth's team is worth 7.03 million euros, higher than Tersta's 4.9 million euros. The home team has won the Dutch League championship many times in history (5 times in total), while Terstal has only once the Dutch Cup championship honors. Although Terstar has a low net worth, its lineup structure is relatively balanced. Overall, Dengbosi has a slight advantage in paper strength, but the gap is not huge.

Summary: Dunkbos has a higher value, an advantage in historical honors, and a slightly stronger strength on paper.

Recent record: Denbos has won all his home games in the last three games and all have cleaned up their opponents, including the more valuable Kampul (9 million euros). Terstar has 2 wins and 1 loss in the last three away games, including a 4-0 away victory over FC Eindhoven. Although Denbos' winning streak is valuable, Tersda showed stronger offensive firepower on the road (scoring 6 goals in 3 games).

Summary: Denboss has a stable home defense, and Tersda has a sharper away offense, and is in a close state recently.

Offensive and Defensive Ability: Dembos has only scored 2 goals in his last three games at home, but has not lost a single goal on the defensive end, with a zero-blocking rate of 100%. Terstar scored 6 goals, conceded 2 goals and 2 clean sheets in the last three games. Tersda is significantly more efficient on the offensive end (2 goals per game), while Denbos is more stable in defense. The home team's defensive core DeGroot averaged 2.21 steals per game, and the away team Hardfelt averaged 2.69 steals per game, both of which contributed significantly to the defense.

Summary: Dembos' defense is imperative, and Tersda's offensive efficiency is better.

Meeting performance: Denbos scored 55 goals in the league this season, conceded 49 goals, with a per-game possession rate of 44%, and a per-game shooting of 4.45 times; Tersda scored 71 goals (second most in the league), conceded 47 goals, with a per-game possession rate of 49%, and a per-game shooting of 5.33 times. The visiting team has an overall advantage in offensive data (shooting, shooting, goal scored) and ball control ability, and conceded fewer goals in defense and more balanced offense and defense. Denboth's pass success rate and long pass success rate are both lower than Terstal, reflecting that his game control is slightly inferior.

Summary: Tersda has strong offensive firepower, better ball control ability, and more balanced overall performance.

Confrontation characteristics: In the last 6 matches between the two teams, Teresda has achieved an absolute advantage of 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, and has won 1-0 against Denbos in the last two away games. In the historical confrontation, Tersda has significant psychological advantages, and the two sides have few draws in recent games (only one draw in the last 6 times), so they tend to decide the winner.

Summary: Tersda's historical confrontation was crushed, and his psychological advantages were obvious.

Comprehensive Analysis

Win draw: Loss

Total goals: 1 goal / 3 goals

Half-game: draw/negative negative

Score: 0:1 / 1:2

Unpopular warning

Low compensation changes: -4.08

5%+Institutions: 4

The average value of low compensation changes has dropped significantly, and more than half of the companies have shown significant odds changes. This shows that the situation in this event is extremely unclear and the probability of an unpopularity is high. It is recommended to consider it carefully.

Note: The article is only the initial view. The earlier time is due to the changes in data, which may affect the results. Please refer carefully. It is more stable on the spot. Next, there is a left small corner center of gravity analysis.