The World Cup expansion, the world s largest beneficiary team may be New Zealand, the biggest beneficiary area

World Cup expansion, the world's largest beneficiary team, visible to the naked eye, New Zealand. Do you still need analysis? There are 1.5 places in Oceania, and the key is that 1, which belongs to New Zealand almost 100%. And that 0.5, no matter who it is, it is difficult to break through in the Intercontinental Playoffs, and it is a perfect cannon fodder. It can even be said bluntly that the quota in Oceania is 1, and as for 0.5, it is just a show.

Of course, there is no absolute in the world, and maybe a team in Oceania can also reach the World Cup. But how low is this probability? You might as well recognize the countries in Oceania first. Except for New Zealand and Australia, if you can say two or three more, they are all considered to be good at geography.

To put it another way, if we count from 2026, New Zealand will basically win the World Cup full attendance award, and the possibility of them being absent in the future is very small. This is the superiority of one's dominance. In the past, Oceania was still a situation where Australia and New Zealand competed, but now, New Zealand can no longer find an opponent.

In fact, the expansion of the World Cup is theoretically beneficial to all teams around the world. Even in Gibraltar, in terms of mathematical probability, even if the quota in Europe is 0.5, it can slightly increase their probability of being shortlisted for the World Cup. Even if it increases from 0.00001% to 0.00002%, it will also increase. So, when we change a target, we do not start from the specific team, but from a certain region. When expanding the World Cup, which region in the world is the biggest beneficiary?

, let's start with a game in the last round of the quarterfinals.

Recently, Palestine was extremely dissatisfied with the final round of home match against Oman, and was awarded a penalty at the last moment, resulting in a three-point loss. It believed that the referee deprived them of the opportunity to enter the playoffs and even asked the AFC for an explanation. Of course, this has nothing to do with us. But the problem is, if we look further, Oman and Palestine, no matter who is shortlisted for the play-offs, aren’t they all West Asian teams?

Yes, the world's biggest beneficiary area for expansion is West Asia.

Let's take a look at the list of participating in the playoffs, Saudi Arabia, Indonesia, UAE, Qatar, Iraq, Oman. Is it easy to find something that is not the same type? Just Indonesia. The other 5 teams are all from West Asia. This is not the World Cup playoffs, it is clearly the Bay Cup.

And to be honest, Indonesia is indeed the weakest among these 6 teams. Therefore, the two teams that were qualified for the World Cup in the play-offs are likely to be from West Asia. In this way, there will be 8.5 places in Asia, 8 of which will be distributed as follows, including two in East Asia (Japan and South Korea), one in Central Asia (Uzbekistan), one in the outer continent (Australia), and the other 4 will all come from West Asia. Account for half.

The quota in Asia has increased from 4.5 to 8.5. Isn’t the extra 4 actually prepared for the West Asian team? This is not a deliberate bias, but because the proportion of West Asian football in Asian football is too large. Only Japan and South Korea are considered strong teams in East Asia, while there are too many strong teams in West Asia, which are simply crowded. So if they don’t take the extra quota, who will take it?

Looking at the world football world, there is no other region that can achieve such great benefits in the expansion of the World Cup. Finally, let’s briefly predict the West Asian team that appeared in the 2026 World Cup. Among them, Iran and Jordan have been confirmed to be shortlisted, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Qatar are very promising. In addition, in extreme cases, a certain West Asian team may be able to break through the siege of the intercontinental play-offs and become the last team in the world to be shortlisted for the World Cup. In that case, there will be six West Asian teams in the 2026 World Cup.