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3:22am, 30 August 2025Football

Event Analysis: Leicester vs Birmingham (4th round of the Championship)

1. Basic Overview

· Leicester (home team) currently ranks 7th in the Championship, with 6 points. As a relegated player in the Premier League last season, his overall strength still has certain advantages, but his recent condition is average, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in the last 6 rounds. His home performance is acceptable, with 3 wins and 1 draw in the last 4 home games, and he has certain home resilience.

· Birmingham (visiting team) is currently ranked 5th with 7 points. As a newly promoted English League One team, he performed well at the start of the season, with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last 6 rounds, and his away performance was excellent (3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5 away games), showing a certain ability to adapt.

2. Confrontation history

Leicester has won all the last three matches between the two sides, and has won the last two home games, with a clear psychological advantage.

3. Interpretation of data and odds

· Initial SP of sports lottery: 2.10 (main win) 3.10 (draw) 3.02 (away win), the main win has a slight advantage.

· European odds change: the main win odds were slightly raised (2.45↑), the tie odds were lowered (3.00↓), and the away win odds were also raised (2.90↑). Institutions generally lowered the tie losses, suggesting that the possibility of a tie has increased.

· Handicap data: The SP of main (-1) is 4.75/3.65/1.55, which shows that if Leicester gives one goal, it will be more difficult.

4. Comprehensive judgment

Although Birmingham is in good shape and has a stable away game, Leicester has an overall advantage in strength, playing at home and crushing in historical confrontations, and still has a strong willingness to win. The European draw and the draw should be wary of the possibility of a draw, but the home team's advantage is still relatively obvious.

5. Recommended result

· Recommended: Home win (the odds are enough to prevent draws)

· Score suggestions: 2-1 or 1-0

Reason: Leicester is expected to control the situation at home, but Birmingham has performed well in the offensive end recently and may score a goal, and the home team has a higher probability of a small victory.

6. Risk warning

If Birmingham continues his away resilience, he needs to defend against a draw (1-1).

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