Sunday 003 Japanese > Toyama Victory VS Fujima MYFC

Toyama Victory vs Fujizhi MYFC In-depth analysis

On June 15, 2025, 18:00, the 19th round of the Japanese rank will stage a life-and-death battle for relegation - Toyama Victory, ranked 18th, faces Fujizhi MYFC at home. The two teams are only 2 points apart, and the results of this game directly affect the relegation zone. The following is based on the data of the Japanese official website, club announcements and authoritative sports media (Leisu Sports, NetEase Sports), and analyzes from multiple dimensions of lineup, tactics, player status and event impact.

1. The recent state and points situation of the two teams

Toyama wins (3 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in 18 rounds, with 16 points)

Offense is weak: the league only scored 16 goals, averaging 0.89 goals per game, ranking last in the league. Home goals account for 62% (10 goals), which is the main source of scoring.

Defensive hidden dangers: Average of 1.6 goals in the last 5 games, but their home defense is slightly stable (4 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss in the last 10 home games).

Relegation pressure: 3 points behind the safety zone, if you win, you will be expected to jump out of the relegation zone.

Fujizhi MYFC (4 wins, 2 draws and 12 losses in 18 rounds, 14 points)

Away bug attribute: 0 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses away, it is the only team in the league that has not won away; the away loss rate is as high as 80%.

Halftime power: 71% of the goals came from the first half, but the defensive collapse rate of the whole game was high, and the loss rate was 88% when lagging behind.

2. Official lineup and key player status

Toyama wins key players (based on the club's official website and league registration list)

Forward: Yusu Ando (No. 13)

The top scorer in the team (4 goals), but no goals were scored in the last 3 rounds, and the ending efficiency declined. He is good at grabbing points, but his success rate is only 45%.

Midfielder: Leria (No. 10)

Brazilian foreign aid, averaging 1.8 key passes per game, but weak defense contribution (0.9 steals per game).

defender: Yuma Matsumoto (No. 24)

main central defender, with a 72% success rate of competition, but he turned slowly and was easily broken by a speed striker.

Fujimae MYFC key player (based on club announcements and J League data)

Shadow Forward: Kazuhara Akata (new aid)

Tactical core: loaned from Nagoya Whale, excellent left foot skills, good at interspersing the penalty area to create opportunities. Before the game, he made a statement: "My strength is to create opportunities in front of the goal, and it needs to be proved with goals." Coach Sudo Daisuke commented: "He has a multi-angle offensive ability adaptation system."

Midfielder: Sugida Masahiko (No. 15)

Offensive and Defensive Hub, scored against Toyama in the last round, but this season only had 2 goals and 1 assist, and the organizational efficiency decreased.

Forward: Yokoyama Akihiro (No. 26)

Speed ​​winger, averaged 3.1 times per game, but his shot conversion rate was only 12%.

Injury List

Toyama Victory: No new main force is injured, all players can play.

Fujizhi MYFC:

Midfielder Hirosuke Onishi (torn medial ligament, come back at the end of June);

defender Akiyama Takatsuki (old injury recurs, and it is suspected of playing).

3. Tactical comparison and coach deployment

Toyama Victory: Stable defending counterattack + set ball attack

The coach emphasized shrinking the defense line and using the cross from the wing to find Yusu Ando's high point. The shortcomings: the offensive organization relies on Leriya's personal ability, and the forward cooperation is unfamiliar; the defensive turnover rate of set pieces is the second highest in the league (average of 0.8 goals per game).

Fujizhi MYFC: Ground infiltration + strong side on the left side

Sudo Daisuke plays ball control with a 4-2-3-1 formation (54% per game):

Left offensive: Sugahara Akata cuts inward and connects, Yokoyama Yama crosses at the bottom;

Defensive hidden danger: The central defender chases back slowly, and is beaten by a long pass and concedes 43% of the balls behind him.

4. Historical confrontation and psychological game

The last 6 matches: Toyama won 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with a home winning rate of 75%.

Key psychological advantages:

In October 2024, Toyama eliminated Fujizhi 1-0 at home and advanced to the Emperor's Cup, with obvious psychological suppression;

Fujizhi failed to win nine away games, and the players lacked confidence.

5. Event impact forecast

Relegation value:

Toyama wins and can beat Fujizhi by 3 points and leave the relegation zone;

If Fujizhi loses, he will fall behind the safe zone by at least 5 points, and the relegation situation will deteriorate.

Subsequent chain reaction:

Toyama: If the home court is lost, the management may fire the coach, the front line needs to be strengthened in the summer window;

Fujizhi: If the new aid Atsuta Kazuhara cannot activate the offense, the loan terms may be terminated.

💎 Comprehensive conclusion

Balance of victory and loss: Toyama's home resilience (only 1 loss at the last 10 home games) contrasts with Fujirachi's away weakness (0 wins), and the probability of home win is higher (60%).