Single level analysis on July 20, for everyone s reference, practical reference

Fenebache vs Benfica

Fenebache:

Offensive end: The state has been stable recently, averaging 2.3 goals per game in the last 5 games, forward Ennesri scored three consecutive games (3 goals in total), and the proportion of set pieces accounts for as high as 41%, and the home offensive efficiency is outstanding (unbeaten in the last 10 games, and the Champions League home winning rate is 78%.

Defensive end: The home defense efficiency is averaging 1.33 goals per game, but there may be loopholes when facing high-pressure pressing (such as a 0-0 draw in the first round of the league, with only 1 shot direct).

Benfica

Offensive end: Four consecutive victories in the new season and zero goals conceded, double defeated Nice in the Champions League qualifying round (4-0 total score), forward Pavlidis has excellent speed and technology, and counterattack efficiency is 1.8 (higher than Fenerbahce's 1.2)

Defensive end: Away defense efficiency is averaging 1.57 goals, but the defense line has been stable recently (4 consecutive games are closed), and set-piece defense is a shortcoming (may be used by Fenerbahce).

2. Index and data tendency

Institutional forecast:

Most institutions have 3.4 goals (54% of the probability), with the highest probability of 1-1 score (16.5%), followed by 1-2 (10.7%).

The initial index opened 2.5 goals, partly rising to 2.75 goals, and the big ball compensation was lowered to 0.88, indicating that the market expects a medium score.

Tactics and historical confrontation:

Fenerbahce is good at defensive counterattacks, Benfica prefers ball control and penetration, and the styles of both sides may form a tug-of-war. In the last 5 matches, the total goals in 3 times were ≤2 goals, but the first round playoffs may be more cautious.

Mourinho's tactics may tend to be conservative, especially Benfica has not beaten Fenerbahce away (3 away games in history, 1 draw and 2 losses), so he may be given priority to keep a stable position.