Recommended La Liga serial Vallecarlo vs Betis (with additional match scores)

1. Comparison of the situation and fighting intention in the standings

Vallecarlo (8th place): The relegation task has been completed ahead of schedule, but there is still a theory of competing for European qualifications (13 points behind No. 6 Betis, and the remaining schedule needs to be fully won). The condition has recovered recently, and has won consecutive league victories in the last two rounds (including a 1-0 away defeat to Las Palmas), with two consecutive games on the defensive end. The home performance was mediocre (6 wins, 6 draws, 5 losses), but his last three home games against Betis has been 1 win, 2 draws, and he has not been at the psychological level.

Betis (No. 6): Heavy concentration of fighting spirit. The state has fluctuated recently, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last 5 games. After the Europa League semi-finals elimination of Fiorentina 2-1, the physical fitness consumes a lot, and the main midfielders Isco and Fekir may face fatigue problems. He performed soundly away (7 wins, 6 draws, 4 losses), but he has conceded 1.6 goals per game in his last 6 away games. The defense has hidden dangers due to the absence of main center back Llorente (season reimbursement) and right-back Bellerin.

2. Tactical style and core player

Vallecarlo: focuses on 5-4-1 defensive counterattack, relying on crosses from the wing (22 times per game, 5th in La Liga) and set pieces (scoring rate 22%) to create threats, especially using the high-altitude advantage of center Falcao (62% header success rate). Midfielder Sisse has enhanced his interception ability after returning from the suspension (averages of 2.8 steals per game), but his forward efficiency is low (only 3 goals in his last 5 games), and Falcao has scored goals in his last two substitutes, and his condition has recovered. The defense line is led by 36-year-old veteran Aridane Hernandez, and has recently made consecutive zero-shoots to improve stability, but the absence of main central defender Muming (season reimbursement) still affects the depth of rotation.

Betis: Using a 4-2-3-1 ball-handling formation, relying on the organizational dispatch of midfielders Canales (2.1 key passes per game) and Isco (7 goals and 5 assists), wingers Juanmi (10 goals) and Anthony's wing breakouts are the key to breaking the situation. The offensive end has blossomed in multiple points (1.6 goals per game in the last 5), but the away efficiency has dropped by 23% (down from 14.2 to 10.9 shots per game). The defensive end is absent from right back Bellerin, and substitute Sabali (1.6 times per game) may become a breakthrough on the left, and central defender Baltra turns slowly and is easily targeted by Falcao's quick counterattack.

3. Injuries and lineup impact

Barrecarlo: The main central defender Mu Ming (knee injury) and midfielder Entka (knee injury) are absent, and the defense line is tightly rotated, but the midfield hardness has increased after Cise returns. Winter Paranon (3.2 breakouts per game) is in excellent form and may become a blasting point on the wing.

Betis: Central defender Lorent (hamstring injury), right back Bellerin (right leg injury), midfielder Roca (muscle fatigue) was absent, and the defense was forced to use the substitute combination. The success rate of high-altitude top-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square- Main forward William José (9 goals) may take a rest, and the offensive end depends on Perez's personal ability (12 goals).

4. Historical confrontations and psychological factors

Betis has 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss in the last 10 confrontations, but Vallecarlo has 1 win and 2 draws against Betis in the last 3 home games, including a 1-1 draw in January 2023, with a strong home resilience. Betis won 5-1 at home in the first leg of this season, but he was under great psychological pressure when playing away, with only 1 win against Vallecarlo in his last five away games.

5. Key data and victory-loss balance

Offensive efficiency: Betis averaged 12.8 shots per game (8th in La Liga), with a positive rate of 42%; Vallecarlo averaged 10.2 shots per game (17th in La Liga), with a positive rate of 38%. But Betis has only scored 5 goals in his last six away games, and his offensive stability has declined.

Defensive stability: Vallecarlo has lost 1.3 goals per game in his last 2 games, and has lost 1.3 goals per game at home; Betis has lost 1.6 goals per game away, and has been shut down 5 times in his last 10 away games.

Settings game: Vallecarlo scores 22%, while Betis's high-altitude top-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-

6. Prediction and score reference

Overall, although Betis is strong in fighting and has an advantage in overall strength, physical energy consumption and defense injury may offset his advantage. Vallecarlo is very resilient at home, and set pieces tactics and wing breakthroughs may become the key to breaking the situation. Based on the current data, it is optimistic that the hospitality team Betis can score at least one point. Reference scores: 0-1, 1-1, 1-2

Osasuna vs. Atletico Madrid: 1-1, 1-2, 0-1

Espanyol vs. Barcelona: 1-1, 1-2, 2-2