In the Premier League, Manchester City can join hands with Newcastle & Will Chelsea advance into the Champions League next season?
1:17pm, 21 May 2025Football
In the Premier League this season, since the championship and relegation have long lost their highlights, the final suspense is concentrated in the competition for the Champions League quota - within the Premier League, there will be Newcastle, Chelsea, Villa, Manchester City and Nottingham, five teams, will compete for the last three straight to the Champions League quota next season; and the other event is the final of the UEFA Cup. Whether Tottenham and Manchester United, who have performed poorly this season, can save themselves through the Europa League, will undoubtedly give the final answer. The situation where the 5 teams are only nearly 1 point apart has indeed made the five Premier League battles this season particularly fierce. So, is Nottingham more likely to return to the Champions League, or is Newcastle and Chelsea & Manchester City joining forces to advance?
Opta's latest forecast shows that Manchester City may be the third place in the Premier League this season, Newcastle becomes the palace team, and Chelsea won the fifth place. Opta's latest forecast results show that Manchester City is the most likely candidate to win the third place in the league, with a 56.7% probability even far exceeding the sum of the other four competitors. I believe that this is because of Manchester City's schedule advantage - Manchester City in the remaining two rounds of games, the highest score of this season will be 71 points; the fourth-place team may be Newcastle, with a 36.8% chance that they will lead Chelsea. Judging from the schedule, when playing Everton at home in the last round, the Magpies did take the initiative in their own hands; the competition for fifth place is the most fierce. Among them, Chelsea's current probability of 27.4% is slightly ahead of Villa's 24.7%. The reason for this situation may be that Villa's goal difference is terrible. As the team with the least goal difference among the top 7 teams, once the same score occurs, Emery's team can only admit defeat!
In the final prediction of 6-7, Villa and Nottingham are also "far ahead". After all, in the last round, they still have to face the strong opponents, and it seems unlikely that a miracle will happen!
The five teams have two destinies - Newcastle, Chelsea, Manchester City, with the initiative; Villa& Nottingham, all depends on the faces of the other three, the most advantage is Manchester City and Newcastle - as long as Manchester City scored 4 points in the last two games and Newcastle scored 3 points, they will advance to the Champions League without any suspense;
And Chelsea's advantage is only relative - if they can defeat Nottingham, they will advance to the Champions League smoothly; if they draw or lose, it will undoubtedly depend on the result of Villa's match against Manchester United in the last round;
But Villa and Nottingham are very passive - while winning, they also depend on the two of the other teams' faces. It is expected that the more likely destination will be the Europa League or the European Union.
Early tomorrow morning, Manchester City will face Bournemouth to decide the prospects of the Champions League - if you win, you can get a draw against Fulham in the last round. Therefore, Manchester City's initiative depends entirely on the result of the 37th round against Bournemouth;
In the 38th round, the only prerequisite for determining the ownership of the Champions League is to get 3 points - after all, when Manchester City is likely to get a seat, only three points can determine the final season fate of Newcastle and other teams!
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