Betis vs. Fiorentina Preview: Home firepower + header advantage faces weak away games, injuries become the key to winning or losing?

1. Team status and home advantage

- Real Betis has recovered recently, with 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in the last 10 games, and his home performance is particularly strong. He has 4 wins and 1 loss in his last 5 home games, with a winning rate of 80%, and his offensive firepower (14 goals were scored in the last 5 games). The last round of the league defeated Valladolid 5-1 and his morale was high.

- Fiorentina has been unbeaten in 9 consecutive games (6 wins and 3 draws), but its away performance has fluctuated greatly, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in the last 5 away games, with outstanding defensive problems (conceding 9 goals in the last 5 away games), and weak away games in the European game (only 1 win in the last 5 games).

2. Injuries and key players

- Betis' hidden dangers of injury: Main defender Diego Lorent and midfielder Mark Roca were absent due to injury, and the defense was under rotation pressure; but core striker Bacambu (7 goals from UEFA United) may return, and his heading ability may become a breakthrough.

- Fiorentina's key missing: offensive core Moise Keane (23 goals and 3 assists this season) may be absent due to personal reasons, midfielders Mandela Gora and Adrie were injured, resulting in a decrease in counterattack efficiency and defensive interception ability.

3. Tactical confrontation

- Betis tactics: focus on crosses from the wing + high-pressing, relying on winger breakthroughs (such as Anthony's right breakthrough) and set-piece header advantages (for Fiorentina's weak high-altitude defense).

- Fiorentine tactics: Focus on ball possession and penetration in the middle, but if the midfielder is short of players, they may be forced to rely on crosses from the wing, and the efficiency of defensive counterattack is limited by Keane's absence and loopholes in the defense line.

4. Historical Confrontation and Data Comparison

- The two teams have only met in friendly matches in history, winning 1 game each, and there is no official match reference.

- Betis' home advantage: 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in the last 10 home games, with a winning rate of 67%; Fiorentina's away return rate is 0, and the away loss rate is 100% when lagging behind.

5. Institutional forecast and score recommendation

- Mainstream view: Most institutions are optimistic that Betis is unbeaten at home, with a probability of home victory of about 65%, and support giving up half/one goal.

- Score prediction:

- Regular situation: Betis wins 2-1 or 2-0 (2-3 goals in total).

-Unpopularity: If Betis cannot defeat him for a long time, Fiorentina may tie the score by counterattack, with a score of 1-1.

Summary

Betis is more optimistic with his home momentum, offensive firepower and set-piece advantages, but he needs to be wary of the risk of defensive rotation; if Fiorentina cannot solve the midfield vacuum and defensive loopholes, it will be difficult for a breakthrough away game. Comprehensive prediction: Betis 2-1 Fiorentina, with the total number of goals being larger.