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Two key matches of the Bundesliga weekend: Leipzig scores in life and death, and Frankfurt s Buddhist guarantee of the Champions League?

6:21pm, 17 May 2025Football

The Bundesliga "Catching Horses" plot again on the weekend! Red Bull Leipzig faces Stuttgart at home, and Freiburg fights to Frankfurt. Both games contain the highlights of "heartbeat acceleration". Today, let’s talk about how to “taste” these two games in the most down-to-earth words - after all, when watching the game, you must understand tactics and be able to chat!

First game: Red Bull Leipzig vs. Stuttgart - Europa League ticket battle, is the loophole in the defense line time bomb?

Leipzig: The roar of the worker must be supported at home!

Leipzig is now like a working person who "makes performance at the end of the month" - ranking 7th with 51 points, 1 point away from the Europa League qualification (5th and 6th). This game requires "working overtime"! Home court has always been their "office treasure land". With 8 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last 10 home games, fans' shouts can overturn the roof. On the offensive end, it is even more of a "male man combination" - Xie Shiko (13 goals) is like a "high-altitude bomber", with a header success rate of 68%, and you have no negotiation on the set ball to hit you; Oppenda (14 goals) is a "speed motor", with 3 goals and 2 assists in the last 5 games, and it seems like you have accelerated when you break through.

But the problem lies in the defensive end - the main central defenders Orban and Henrichs are both on the list of injuries, and the substitute defense is like a "temporary piece of straw team". They have lost 11 goals in the last 6 rounds, and the high-altitude ball defense can be called a "window leaking window". Although head coach Glasner's high-pressing tactics are strong, players are prone to "insufficient battery" while running, and their physical fitness is a time bomb.

Stuttgart: The health team suddenly became fierce? The German Cup is true love?

Stuttgart has long been "land" (ranked 9th with 47 points). It is said that it should be "health-keeping football", but it just caught up with the German Cup final (May 25), and you have to find your state before the game. However, coach Heness said: "No rotation! What should the main players do!" So Dmirovic (14 goals, 5 goals in the last 5 games) and Mitelstedt (2.1 key passes per game) must make a appearance.

Their tactic is "sports cars on the side + center eat cake" - the cross from the side is fast and accurate (4.2 times per game), Dmirovic is like a "hungry tiger pounces on food" in the penalty area, waiting to feed cakes. And although their defense line is missing Anton and Zagadu (sprayed knee), they have also blocked their opponents in the past two games (including a 4-0 victory over Augsburg), they are definitely potential stocks to "play as a pig and eat tigers".

Point: This ball is very similar to "the Battle of Spear and Shield"!

Leipzig's set ball is like a "heavy tank", while Stuttgart's counterattack is a "light fighter". However, Leipzig is full of fighting at home, and Stuttgart's defense has "height short" (the substitute center back is short), and Seschko's header may become the key to breaking the situation. However, if Leipzig's substitute defense is broken through by Stuttgart's "sports car combination", it will be lively - the predicted score is 2-1 or 2-2, and the home team's probability of unbeaten is high. After all, "home buff" + "performance motivation" is not a joke!

Game 2: Freiburg VS Frankfurt - Champions League ticket defense battle, life and death are both Buddhist?

Freiburg: Fight against the enemy! The home court must "weld the city gate"!

Freiburg is now a "ascetic monk standing on the edge of a cliff" - ranked fourth with 55 points, but he must win to ensure the qualification for the Champions League (5th place Leipzig is chasing him). The home court is their "life-saving talisman". In the last 6 home games, they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, and their defense is as stable as the "Iron Trojan" (period of 0.8 goals per game). On the offensive end, Alan Dingqi (10 goals) is the "fast horse", breaking through the wing and crossing, specializing in playing against the opponent's empty space.

But the trouble is that central defender Schlottbeck is injured, and midfielder Keyech (ligament injury) cannot play. The defensive midfielder is equal to "half of the country". Facing Frankfurt's fast attack, there may be "wind". Moreover, their shooting rate is only 42%. "The shooting is like Duan Yu's six-mechanical divine sword - time-spirited and sometimes-powerful." Whether they can seize the opportunity is the key.

Frankfurt: Clock in and get off work mode? Just keep the Champions League!

Frankfurt ranked third with 57 points. As long as he is unbeaten, he can "lock the Champions League ticket". His mentality is like "an old fry who completes KPI ahead of time" - just play steadily, there is no need to fight desperately. On the offensive end, there are "Temini" Ekitic (15 goals) and Marmush (15 goals), one is the "fulcrum tank" and the other is the "wing assassin", and the counterattack is as fast as a "sports car".

But the midfield core Gotze is injured, just like "the band has no command", the midfield connection may be discounted. Although goalkeeper Trapp (save rate 78%) is the "goal god", the central defender combination of Endica + Tuta is temporarily pieced together, and the tacit understanding is doubtful. However, their tactics are very clear: "You attack yours, I steal mine, no hurry anyway."

Key points: One is working hard and the other is seeking stability. Could the script be a bit flat?

Freiburg's "welded city gate" at home + Frankfurt's "seeking stability mentality" may lead to the game "tight first and then loose". Frankfurt's double stars are more efficient and may seize the gaps on Freiburg's pressure to steal points, but Freiburg is highly resilient at home and is likely to "fight to the end". The prediction score is 2-1 (away win) or 1-1 (a draw), and it is more reliable to be unbeaten by the away team. After all, Frankfurt's mentality of "winning if it is a draw" is too stable.

Summary: First look at the "war intention" when watching the game, and injury determines the "script"!

- Leipzig VS Stuttgart: The home team is "fighting for life" for the Europa League qualification, with a great advantage in home court + set ball, but the loophole in the defense line may be counterattacked and the recommended home unbeaten (win or draw).

- Freiburg VS Frankfurt: Frankfurt "check in and protects the Champions League". Freiburg is under too much pressure and can easily "deform the movements". It is recommended that the guest is unbeaten (win or draw).

The last reminder: Football is round, and injuries and red and yellow cards may be "changed" at any time. While we are watching the fun, remember to "small gambling to make love, big gambling to make the body hurt"! Have a happy weekend, let’s shout for the team you like! 🏆

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