[ai Intelligent] 3 strings: Hoffenheim s away performance is poor, is Las Palmas relegation situation serious? (with sweep)

Friday 006 Bundesliga Wolfsburg VS Hoffenheim

Match time: 2025-05-10 02:30

1. Comparison of core advantages and disadvantages

1. Wolfsburg

has the psychological advantage of the adversity: I have won 5 games against Hoffenheim in the last 7 times, and only lost 1 game in 10 home games.

style open: The recent games have a high goal rate (3/4 goals scored ≥3 goals), which may create a situation of attacking.

Defminant position: 8 consecutive games not winning (6 losses and 2 draws), weak on both offense and defense (zero goals in the last 2 games and conceded consecutive goals in 10 games).

Poor data ability: lost the index 7 times in the last 8 games, and market expectations remained lower than actual performance.

2. Hoffenheim's advantageous offense is stable: scored 6 consecutive games, and the recent games also tend to have big scores (three consecutive goals).

Opponent's defensive loopholes: Wolfsburg's defense is fragile, and Huocun may have an opportunity to take advantage of the offensive end.

Disadvantages are weak away: 4 consecutive away games, and the historical record against Wolfburg is bleak (only 1 away game in the last 10 away games).

Defensive hidden dangers: Conceded goals in 7 games in the last 8 games, similar to Wolfsburg, with defense problems.

2. Key winners and losers

Psychology vs Status: Although Wolfsburg has a clash advantage, its recent state is extremely poor, and its psychological advantage may be offset by actual performance. Hoffenheim needs to overcome the away game, and if the offensive efficiency continues, it may be able to break the historical disadvantage.

Offensive and defensive game: Both teams have poor defense (Wolfburg conceded 10 games and Huocun conceded 7 games), the game may evolve into "mute games" and the probability of a big ball is high. If Wolfsburg cannot improve its offense (don't fire in the last 2 games), it may continue to fall into a passive position.

Data suggests: Wolfburg's recent loss rate is extremely high (87.5%), and the market confidence is insufficient; Huocun's performance is poor on the away game but the offensive end is more stable, so we need to be wary of the possibility of a draw.

III. Comprehensive prediction

Score tendency: 2-2, 3-2 (big ball direction)

Winning and losing possibility: Wolfsburg rebounds at home (if the psychological advantage of the confrontation) or Hoffenheim takes the lead (if the opponent's defensive loopholes are seized).

Risk warning: Both teams have unreliable defenses in the near future, so you need to be cautious about the possibility of "zero blocks".

Friday 007 Serie A AC Milan VS Bologna

Match time: 2025-05-10 02:45

1. AC Milan

Strong home game: The unbeaten rate of home games is 82% (17 games), and it has the ability to score stable points.

Recent firepower: Scored 7 goals during the three-game winning streak, Pulisic and Reindez each contributed 10 goals, and the forward was in full swing.

Crush: 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss against Bologna in the last 10 times, with a significant psychological advantage.

Disadvantage data is sluggish: the same data has only broken down in 2 games in the last 6 games, and market confidence is insufficient.

Defense line hazards: Only 1 clean sheet for the opponent in the past 6 games, and the stability of the defense is doubtful.

2. Bologna has stronger advantage and fighting spirit: closer to the Champions League (7th place), more motivation to grab points.

Away resilience: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last 5 away games, 5th in Serie A's ability to score points away.

Stable data: The same data in the last 6 games have been successfully protected by 5 games, and the performance of the trading road is trustworthy.

Disadvantages: Only 1 win against Milan in the last 10 times, and the away game is at an absolute disadvantage.

Defensive loophole: Conceding goals in 4 games in the last 6 games, facing Milan's strong attack may expose shortcomings.

2. Key winners and losers

The balance of fighting spirit and pressure Milan needs to continue the three consecutive victories to impact the European war zone, but the recent weak data reflects the market's lack of confidence in it.

Bologna may approach the Champions League qualification if it wins, but the disadvantages in historical clashes may form psychological burden.

Offensive and defensive efficiency vs. Milan is in good condition on the offensive end (7 goals in 3 games), but the loose defense may be used by Bologna's counterattack (Bologna averages 1.4 goals away games). Bologna needs to rely on away resilience (recent unbeaten rate of 80%) to make up for its defensive shortcomings, but it needs to be vigilant about Milan's home suppression.

The data and actual divergence between Milan's home advantage and the sluggish data form a contradiction. We need to pay attention to whether the on-the-spot index is tilted towards the home team. Bologna has outstanding data protection capabilities (83% success rate in the last 6 games), which may become a potential signal of unpopularity.

III. Comprehensive forecast and suggestions

Score tendency: 2-1, 1-1 (Milan's small win or draw)

Winning possibility: AC Milan win: If the offensive efficiency continues and the home court advantage is used, it is expected to continue winning streaks.

Bologna is unbeaten: If the defensive counterattack works and the data advantage continues, you may score in a flash.

Tactical concerns: Milan needs to restrict Bologna's midfield possession (such as Ferguson and Salemacles) to avoid being dragged into a war of attrition. Bologna needs to focus on Pulic's right-hand breakthrough, and at the same time use crosses from the wing to create a threat.

Risk warning: There are loopholes in both teams' defenses, and the game may be open, with a high probability of total goals ≥3 goals.

On-the-spot suggestions: Pay attention to Milan's injury list (especially the main players in the midfield and backcourt) and Bologna's away formation adjustment (whether it is conservatively contracted).

Friday 009 La Liga Las Palmas vs. Vallecano

Match time: 2025-05-10 03:00

Confrontation advantages and relegation pressure

The last three La Liga matches Vallecano 2 wins and 1 draw, and they have the advantage in psychology.

is in the relegation zone (8 wins, 8 draws and 18 losses in the league), and must win to retain hope of relegation and have a strong fighting spirit.

Offensive and defensive performance

Recent data capabilities (winning 3 games in the last 4 games), but insufficient offensive efficiency (only 2 wins in the last 10 games).

has obvious defensive loopholes (conceded 16 goals in the last 10 games), and its home form is sluggish (only 1 win at home in the last 8 games).

Vallecano Key points:

Fighting intention and ranking power

rank 8th with 44 points. In theory, there is still a possibility of impacting the European war zone, but competitors need to make mistakes, and actual power is limited.

The recent sluggish state

The last 5 games, 1 win, 2 draw and 3 losses, and both offense and defense have performed weakly: weak offense (only 3 goals in 5 games), and loose defense (conceding ≥2 goals in 4 games in the last 6 games).

has poor away stability (3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the last 10 away games), and has weak data ability (only 1 win in the last 5 games).

Winning and Loss Forecast:

Las Palmas Opportunity: Relegation life and death battle + home court advantage + psychological advantage of confrontation. If the defense line can be tightened for a short time, it may win with the efficiency of counterattack.

Vallecano's hidden danger: There is doubt in fighting spirit (the hope for European games is slim), the away defense may be targeted by the home team, but the weak offense may be difficult to counter.

Recommended direction:

Win and Loss: Las Palmas has a small victory (inclined to 1-0, 2-1), and if the defense continues to collapse, it may be a draw (such as 2-2).

Goals: Highly likely ≥2 goals (both sides are unstable in defense, but the home team needs to grab points or push the rhythm).

Data strategy: Be cautious in supporting Las Palmas (fighting intention drive + confrontation bonus), but be wary of the risk of draw.

Risk warning:

If Vallecano is not in a good spirit and the lineup is rotated, the pressure on the home team's relegation may be converted into goal efficiency; on the contrary, if Vallecano strives to win, the visiting team's defensive loopholes may be magnified, but it is still difficult to overestimate the offensive end.

Note: The article is only the initial view. The earlier time is due to the changes in data, which may affect the results. Please refer carefully. It is more stable on the spot. Next, there is a left small corner center of gravity analysis