Alexander has many free throws? He slapped all the data in the face! His real hit rate is not as good as a substitute?
12:19am, 22 May 2025Basketball
In this season's playoffs, the Thunder star Alexander averaged 28.8 points, 6 rebounds and 6.4 assists per game. It seems to be incredible, but looking at the data closely, it is surprising - the real shooting percentage is only 53.2%, ranking 100th among the 110 players in the league, and it is even worse than some substitutes! What's even more heartbreaking is that when he left the court, the Thunder's net winning score in a hundred rounds skyrocketed to 37.6, while he only scored 7.5 points when he came on the court, the gap was like a cloud of mud. Is the so-called "free throw controversy" really worthy of his reputation or the bubble under the referee's "preferential"?
1. Basic data: Behind the gorgeousness, there is a hidden worry
The basic data of Alexander's playoffs seems comprehensive, but in fact there is a hidden crisis:
Scoring efficiency plummeted: the regular season shooting percentage was 49.8%, the playoff cliff-like decline to 41.6%, and the three-point shooting percentage was even worse to 23.5%.
Free-to-fire dependence: Average of 8.4 free throws (8.8 regular season), ranking third in the league, but the ability to create a killing ability in key rounds has dropped sharply. In the first round of G2 against the Grizzlies, he only won 4 free throws in 29 attempts. After the game, the media of Russia City angrily criticized the referee for "double standards", but was ridiculed by the entire network for "taking advantage in the regular season."
Short assists: The assist rate in the playoffs has increased by only 1.2%, but it accounts for 32% of the team's round share. The teammates feel cold when fighting alone. In the final quarter of the Nuggets G1, he scored only 6 points in seven singles, while his teammates Dort and Jaylen Williams made 2 of 11 shots, making it worse on both offense and defense.
2. Advanced data: "Efficiency Black Hole" under the MVP halo
High-order data further tear open the "pseudo-super giant" mask:
Real hit rate (TS%): 53.2%, the league's countdown level is far lower than Jokic's 62.3%.
The net efficiency poor on the field/outside game: -30.1, setting a record for the worst star in the playoffs. When he was on the court, the Thunder attack was stagnant, but after the game, the team went smoothly.
PER value (efficiency value): 21.9, compared with Jokic's 31.2, the gap is like a natural barrier.
3. Free throw dispute: The "reality" after the referee's scale was tightened
The total number of free throws in Alexander this season was 800, close to Harden's historical record, but the playoff controversial penalty was frequent:
"Body Whistle" failed: The referee's report shows that his missed fouls against Zubac reduced by 47%, and the breakthrough free throw rate decreased by 12%. In the G1 match against the Timberwolves in the Western Conference Finals, he repeatedly made his opponent angry because of his "active foul" in 14 free throws, and was even ridiculed that "the competition for Oscars."
The penalty drought in key battles: against the Lakers at the end of the regular season, he rarely scored 26+9 in 0 free throws in the game, but the team lost 27 points, exposing the fatal shortcomings of "free-throw dependence".
4. Support and doubts: Teammates support VS celebrities, teammates support: Jaylen Williams said bluntly: "He broke through the league first, and free throws should have been more! Media prejudice amplified the controversy."
Legendary question: 7-time champion Horry mocked: "If James had the same whistle, the data would be even more terrifying!" Nuggets' reporter criticized even more: "Real superstars should make teammates better, not drain the system."
5. Future prospects: Where is the way to break the deadlock?
If Alexander wants to tear off the "data brush" label, he needs to do three things:
1. Improve projection stability: the three-point shooting rate is less than 30%, the opponent unscrupulously shrinks the defense line, and the "iron strike" in the middle distance can only achieve half the result with twice the effort.
2. Activate the team offense: learn from Jokic to tear the defense with a pass instead of being addicted to singles. G1 against the Nuggets, with about 7 assists and open three-pointers, 18 points converted from 10 frontcourt rebounds, can be regarded as a textbook.
3. Adapt to the referee's scale: The rules tighten the general trend, and only by reducing "bumping" and conquering the arena with hard power can we block the public's mouths.
Summary: The data will not lie, and Alexander's "free throw controversy" is by no means groundless. From the "phenomenon performance" in the regular season to the "efficiency black hole" in the playoffs, if this 80 million gentleman cannot learn from his mistakes, the Thunder's dream of champion may be able to get a bamboo basket. After all, a true legend never needs whistle escort!
Last:The Warriors are ready to strengthen wildly, 5000+4 first round pick, goal: inside + forward line
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